OpenNBAVoting

An on-going analysis of NBA regular-season awards.

Sat, December 23, 2023 - 2 min read

The voting process for the NBA’s most prestigious awards—such as MVP, DPOY, and its All-NBA Teams—has always been fairly ill-defined in terms of both who votes and how they voted. The rules have changed drastically over the years and the full voting results weren’t even published until the 2015 season.

Since that 2015 season, the NBA has released the results as PDF-formatted documents tabulated by Ernst & Young LLP. And while this was certainly a major step forward in transparency, the format isn’t very useful for data analysis.

I’m working on changing that.

Why is this important?

In 2016, the NBA players and Board of Governors ratified a new Collective Bargaining Agreement. This agreement included a “designated player” exception that allows a team to sign one of its own players to a five-year maximum contract extension, according to the following criteria:

  1. He makes one of the three all-NBA teams or is named either defensive player of the year or most valuable player the previous season.
  2. He has made one of the three all-NBA teams or has been named defensive player of the year in two of the prior three seasons or the league’s most valuable player in one of the three prior seasons.

This exception comes in addition to the well-known “Derrick Rose Rule,” which incentivizes making All-NBA teams during a player’s first four years. In response to the heightened stakes of its media-based awards, the NBA also made a few changes to its voter-selection process:

  1. Decreased the number of eligible voters for each award from 130 to 100.
  2. Limited the selection pool to “independent” media members (no radio/television broadcasters or writers associated with a particular team).
  3. Required at least one voter per NBA market.

In total, the NBA’s media-based awards have more meaning than ever and understanding the process has become all the more important.

Exploring the data

The NBA has 9 distinct media-chosen awards, each with its own number of placements and scoring system (more on that later). The table below summarizes each voter’s ballot for a given award—Most Valuable Player (MVP), Coach of the Year (COY), Rookie of the Year (ROY), Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY), Most Improved Player (MIP), 6th Man of the Year (6th), All-NBA (All-NBA), All-Defense (All-Defensive), and All-Rookie (All-Rookie).